Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.020941 0.022666 0.024465 0.026483 0.028685 0.031017 0.033673
2025-08-31 0.017866 0.020320 0.023022 0.026222 0.029916 0.034054 0.039052
2025-09-07 0.015870 0.018722 0.021989 0.026018 0.030871 0.036546 0.043713
2025-09-14 0.014430 0.017532 0.021201 0.025880 0.031713 0.038780 0.048043
2025-09-21 0.013201 0.016444 0.020385 0.025554 0.032194 0.040489 0.051716
2025-09-28 0.012376 0.015763 0.019982 0.025658 0.033147 0.042766 0.056175
2025-10-05 0.011595 0.015067 0.019485 0.025568 0.033792 0.044625 0.060136
2025-10-12 0.010995 0.014552 0.019173 0.025671 0.034660 0.046782 0.064585
2025-10-19 0.010456 0.014078 0.018871 0.025747 0.035462 0.048859 0.069009
2025-10-26 0.009914 0.013560 0.018471 0.025646 0.035988 0.050547 0.072941
2025-11-02 0.009459 0.013132 0.018162 0.025641 0.036626 0.052402 0.077196
2025-11-09 0.008939 0.012582 0.017647 0.025301 0.036743 0.053481 0.080322
2025-11-16 0.008402 0.011995 0.017071 0.024870 0.036743 0.054452 0.083452
2025-11-23 0.007958 0.011522 0.016636 0.024626 0.037013 0.055848 0.087352
2025-11-30 0.007566 0.011104 0.016255 0.024435 0.037342 0.057338 0.091480
2025-12-07 0.007223 0.010738 0.015931 0.024306 0.037748 0.058954 0.095895
2025-12-14 0.006862 0.010326 0.015513 0.024002 0.037848 0.060069 0.099523
2025-12-21 0.006626 0.010093 0.015357 0.024099 0.038591 0.062262 0.105112
2025-12-28 0.006363 0.009806 0.015099 0.024015 0.039024 0.063950 0.109916
2026-01-04 0.006160 0.009600 0.014959 0.024111 0.039757 0.066174 0.115803
2026-01-11 0.005963 0.009397 0.014811 0.024182 0.040443 0.068345 0.121723
2026-01-18 0.005745 0.009147 0.014574 0.024088 0.040833 0.070011 0.126803
2026-01-25 0.005557 0.008939 0.014396 0.024083 0.041373 0.071963 0.132540